Brera Ilch FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 0
BSI
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BSI
0 - 3
DER
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KHO
3 - 0
BSI
63%
17%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 20
BSI
41%
20%
38%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BSI
2 - 1
KHC
41%
21%
38%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ULA
2 - 1
HFC
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ULA
0 - 0
KHA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPF
0 - 0
ULA
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
DER
2 - 0
ULA
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ULA
1 - 2
KHO
76%
14%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |