Bavois vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 3
BAV
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BAV
3 - 2
FCA
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 2
BAV
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MEY
0 - 2
BAV
35%
24%
40%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BAV
1 - 2
ECH
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 3
WOH
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BIE
0 - 0
WIL
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NEX
1 - 3
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCA
34%
25%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |