Baumgarten vs PSV Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAU
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
3 - 3
WUR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
RAP
0 - 0
BAU
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
EIS
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
KRE
5 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSV Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
FCW
4 - 2
TFW
52%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
TFW
1 - 0
SCH
44%
24%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
WIE
1 - 1
TFW
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
TFW
0 - 2
SKN
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2006 |
WIE
3 - 0
TFW
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |