Baumgarten vs Ostbahn XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 3
MAT
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SVH
0 - 0
BAU
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RIT
2 - 1
BAU
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 5
FAC
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -3 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
ZWE
1 - 3
BAU
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
OST
0 - 2
RIT
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 2
OST
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
OST
0 - 3
PAR
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
OST
0 - 0
MAT
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
FAC
0 - 2
OST
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |