Baumgarten vs Neusiedl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
STM
3 - 2
BAU
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
BAU
2 - 0
PAR
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
BAU
3 - 1
KLI
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAU
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAU
1 - 4
JEN
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 1
KLI
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
NEU
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NEU
0 - 1
JEN
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 4
NEU
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
NEU
0 - 1
DRA
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |