Baumgarten vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
17%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
BAU
62%
20%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
BAU
0 - 2
NEU
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
PUR
0 - 0
BAU
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAU
0 - 1
STI
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
JEN
0 - 1
BAU
61%
20%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
PIN
29%
23%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
STG
3 - 1
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
SIG
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUS
2 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |