Bastogne vs RAC Saint-Mard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VAU
1 - 1
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
FLO
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 2
BAS
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OPP
4 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
OPP
0 - 2
BAS
71%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
RAC Saint-Mard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
2 - 4
FLO
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 2
SMA
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 4
LOR
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SMA
2 - 2
LAR
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |