Bastion vs Nafkom Brovary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
ROS
3 - 2
BAS
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 0
MFK
46%
28%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NYV
1 - 0
BAS
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
KOR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ABT
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nafkom Brovary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
NAF
1 - 0
KAR
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 4
NAF
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NAF
0 - 0
KNY
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
NAF
3 - 0
ROS
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
MFK
1 - 1
NAF
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |