Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 0
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
ARL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
GET
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 1
GIR
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 0
MPL
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
TFC
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |