Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 1
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
BRC
2 - 0
BAS
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 1
LYO
17%
24%
60%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 0
NIC
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 1
TFC
56%
26%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
TFC
2 - 0
REN
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 3
TFC
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |