Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
ANG
2 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
CLE
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
NÎM
1 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
6 - 2
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
VAN
0 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
REI
4 - 1
STR
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
STR
0 - 0
DIJ
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
STR
1 - 0
USB
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
AMI
1 - 1
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
STR
0 - 2
GUI
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |