Ligue 1 Round 16

Bastia vs Stade Lavallois analysis

Bastia Stade Lavallois
71 ELO 78
-6.6% Tilt -3%
550º General ELO ranking 635º
25º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
50.7%
Bastia
26.9%
Draw
22.4%
Stade Lavallois

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
Bastia
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.4%
Win probability
Stade Lavallois
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia
-4%
+2%
Stade Lavallois

ELO progression

Bastia
Stade Lavallois
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 1985
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Bastia
BAS
61%
21%
18%
71 70 1 0
04 Oct. 1985
BAS
Bastia
2 - 1
Le Havre
LHA
54%
24%
22%
71 71 0 0
27 Sep. 1985
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 2
Bastia
BAS
82%
12%
6%
70 87 17 +1
20 Sep. 1985
BAS
Bastia
2 - 0
Lille
LIL
49%
26%
25%
69 74 5 +1
14 Sep. 1985
TFC
Toulouse
3 - 1
Bastia
BAS
64%
22%
15%
70 78 8 -1

Matches

Stade Lavallois
Stade Lavallois
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 1985
STL
Stade Lavallois
3 - 2
Toulouse
TFC
46%
27%
27%
77 78 1 0
04 Oct. 1985
LIL
Lille
1 - 3
Stade Lavallois
STL
52%
27%
21%
77 74 3 0
27 Sep. 1985
STL
Stade Lavallois
4 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
54%
26%
20%
76 73 3 +1
21 Sep. 1985
MON
Monaco
1 - 1
Stade Lavallois
STL
71%
19%
10%
76 85 9 0
13 Sep. 1985
STL
Stade Lavallois
1 - 1
Metz
MET
38%
27%
35%
76 80 4 0