Bastia vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 2
LYO
17%
23%
61%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 3
VEN
88%
10%
2%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
GRE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
SOC
0 - 2
AJA
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 0
SOC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SOC
0 - 1
PSG
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DIJ
0 - 0
SOC
38%
26%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SOC
1 - 3
MPL
46%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |