Bastia vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
LEN
1 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
TFC
4 - 0
BAS
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
BAS
3 - 0
STL
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
FCR
1 - 2
BAS
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 1
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
MET
1 - 0
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |