Bastia vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BAS
3 - 0
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
NAN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
STR
2 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
BAS
3 - 0
LYO
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BAS
3 - 0
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 2
LEN
53%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ASS
5 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1999 |
FEY
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
LHA
67%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |