Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
ASN
3 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 2
GIR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
TOU
2 - 2
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 2
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
STL
3 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
NIC
3 - 2
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
LIL
3 - 1
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
NIC
2 - 2
ASN
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
GIR
3 - 0
NIC
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |