Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SED
2 - 2
BAS
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAS
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
MET
0 - 1
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
MET
4 - 0
FCG
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
MET
24%
28%
48%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
MET
1 - 0
GRE
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |