Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
REI
0 - 2
BAS
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
BAS
6 - 1
SOC
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
ANG
2 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
NAN
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
NÎM
6 - 2
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
MET
0 - 4
ASS
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
RED
1 - 1
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
MET
0 - 1
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
MET
4 - 0
LIL
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |