Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
BAS
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
LIL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 2
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
GUI
47%
27%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
GUI
12%
21%
67%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 0
GUI
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
DYN
3 - 1
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |