Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
ANG
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 2
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
LHA
6 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 2
REI
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 2
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
USB
2 - 0
GUI
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 1
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
GUI
5 - 0
TRO
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
NAN
1 - 1
GUI
63%
22%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |