Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
TOU
0 - 3
BAS
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
AMI
1 - 0
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
MPL
4 - 0
BAS
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
GUI
0 - 2
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
GUI
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 3
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
REI
1 - 0
GUI
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 1
BRE
63%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |