Bastia vs Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SOC
0 - 2
BAS
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NIO
2 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 0
GUI
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GAP
1 - 1
NIO
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
5 - 0
GAP
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
GAP
2 - 3
CAN
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
GAP
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
GAP
4 - 0
BAY
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |