Bastia vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
REI
2 - 1
BAS
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 1
AUX
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 0
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 0
NIC
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 0
ETG
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 2
LOR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 2
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |