Bastia vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SÈT
0 - 0
BAS
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 3
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 0
LMU
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
USB
1 - 2
BAS
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
ANN
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
LYO
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
CON
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 3
ORL
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |