Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DIJ
2 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
LHA
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 2
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
PAU
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NÎM
0 - 0
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 0
CAE
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
SOC
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |