Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
REN
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAS
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ETG
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
REI
2 - 1
BAS
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 0
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
5 - 1
CAE
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
MPL
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
CAE
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |