Bastia vs Avignon AS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
LYO
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
SOC
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
STR
1 - 3
BAS
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1976 |
ASN
0 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 1
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
ASA
0 - 2
NAN
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
NÎM
1 - 0
ASA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1976 |
ASA
2 - 1
LYO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |