Bastia vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
FCG
0 - 1
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
CLE
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
VCH
2 - 5
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
ANG
58%
26%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 1
STR
58%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GIR
4 - 1
AUX
51%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |