Bastia vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
LYO
0 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
LEN
4 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
BAS
4 - 0
ASS
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
LHA
2 - 2
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
AUX
0 - 1
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2000 |
AUX
1 - 0
GIR
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 0
AUX
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2000 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUX
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |