Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
BAS
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAE
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DIJ
2 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
LHA
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 0
NIO
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 2
AJA
38%
28%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
PFC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
SOC
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 1
AJA
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |