Bastia II vs Dives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
OIS
4 - 2
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
DUN
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEA
3 - 0
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
EVR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 1
BAS
28%
26%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
DIV
1 - 6
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 1
DIV
45%
24%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DIV
4 - 0
CHA
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AAC
3 - 0
DIV
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DIV
2 - 3
SAI
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |