Bastia II vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
IFS
3 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
VCH
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
DRO
1 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
IVR
4 - 0
LSC
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BOI
0 - 1
IVR
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
OIS
0 - 0
IVR
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
IVR
2 - 3
IFS
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
VCH
3 - 2
IVR
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |