Bastia II vs Cournon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ECH
4 - 2
BAS
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
BOU
52%
23%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CLE
1 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
VIE
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
COU
0 - 1
AND
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COU
3 - 0
SAI
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 2
COU
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
COU
2 - 1
MON
29%
27%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
COU
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |