Bastia Calcio vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 2
BAS
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 3
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
SDT
13%
21%
66%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
3 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
USR
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 1
SDT
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
USR
0 - 4
PIA
35%
28%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PIA
4 - 0
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ACP
2 - 1
PIA
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
ACS
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |