Bastia Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SDT
2 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
SPO
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MPO
2 - 2
BAS
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 2
GRO
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
GAV
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 0
GRA
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ACA
2 - 0
GAV
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 2
SDT
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 1
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |