Bastendorf vs SC Ell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
MAM
0 - 1
BAS
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
KEH
4 - 0
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
JEU
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SC Ell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
ELL
0 - 2
YBD
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ELL
0 - 1
MAM
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 0
ELL
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
KEH
0 - 1
ELL
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ELL
0 - 3
JEU
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |