Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FEU
1 - 1
BAS
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 1
DCE
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FFN
2 - 3
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
HOS
4 - 1
BAS
54%
20%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LOR
4 - 1
BOE
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MER
3 - 2
LOR
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
FEU
0 - 4
LOR
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LOR
2 - 0
FFN
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ERP
0 - 3
LOR
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |