Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 10
ETZ
8%
14%
79%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 3
KEH
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
5 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 9
BAS
7%
12%
81%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +4 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 1
KEH
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
LOR
16%
19%
65%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 2
FFN
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 4
ALI
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |