Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
KEH
0 - 3
BAS
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 4
MAR
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
5 - 1
FEU
79%
13%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ORA
3 - 1
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RES
1 - 4
BAS
37%
21%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALI
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MLI
4 - 1
LOR
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
FCA
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
LOR
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 2
ATE
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |