Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BBM
2 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
BAS
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAR
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 3
BAS
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
BOE
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 1
GRE
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BER
6 - 2
LOR
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
MLI
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MER
4 - 1
LOR
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |