Basra vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
ALS
1 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
2 - 1
BFC
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
BFC
0 - 1
ALT
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
BFC
0 - 1
ALN
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
KFC
0 - 1
BFC
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALN
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
KFC
1 - 6
ARB
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
ALS
3 - 0
ARB
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
ARB
2 - 1
ZAK
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
KAR
1 - 0
ARB
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |