BASK vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SOP
0 - 0
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZAR
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
POL
0 - 2
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 3
TEL
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TUR
2 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
44%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ZEM
1 - 0
SRE
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ZEL
1 - 1
ZEM
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZEM
2 - 0
DOR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RAK
0 - 0
ZEM
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ZEM
2 - 0
HAJ
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |