BASK vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SRE
1 - 0
BAS
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
BUD
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 1
BAS
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
HAJ
1 - 1
BAS
19%
25%
57%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 0
SRE
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BUD
3 - 4
ZEM
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ZEM
3 - 1
TUR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 1
ZEM
77%
17%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SOP
3 - 0
ZEM
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -3 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ZEM
1 - 1
VOZ
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |