BASK vs Dorćol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEO
4 - 1
BAS
15%
25%
60%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZEM
1 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SME
1 - 0
BAS
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 3
SMJ
73%
18%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 1
SIN
31%
27%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
HAJ
1 - 0
DOR
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 1
SRE
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 1
DOR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 0
KOV
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |