FA Cup Previa 3
Global 2-7
Basildon United vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 4
BAS
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 7
GRA
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 0
WEN
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 1
BAS
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 1
WIN
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 2
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 2
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 1
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |