Non League Div One Southern South Round 1

Bashley vs Yate Town analysis

Bashley Yate Town
33 ELO 27
-0.8% Tilt 8.8%
11374º General ELO ranking 8427º
653º Country ELO ranking 368º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Bashley
20.4%
Draw
19.9%
Yate Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Bashley
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.9%
Win probability
Yate Town
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
-9%
+20%
Yate Town

Points and table prediction

Bashley
Their league position
Yate Town
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
18º
16º
50
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wimborne Town
79
82
86%
Frome Town
75
79
83.5%
Cribbs
66
69
69%
Bristol Manor Farm
59
62
32.5%
Hamworthy United
20º
0
62
7.5%
Mousehole AFC
58
61
40.5%
Larkhall Athletic
58
61
25%
Evesham United
51
54
48%
Yate Town
50
53
37%
Bishop's Cleeve
48
51
10º
30.5%
Malvern Town
10º
47
50
11º
32.5%
Tavistock
11º
46
49
12º
44.5%
Bideford
12º
46
47
13º
47%
Bemerton Heath
13º
43
44
14º
49%
Willand Rovers
14º
42
43
15º
24%
Bashley
15º
42
43
16º
27%
Melksham Town
16º
40
41
17º
68%
Westbury United
17º
34
35
18º
72%
Exmouth Town
18º
33
34
19º
72%
Paulton Rovers
19º
26
27
20º
99.5%
Expected probabilities
Bashley
Yate Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bashley
Yate Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
BAS
Bashley
2 - 3
Eastleigh
EAS
12%
19%
69%
32 50 18 0
22 Apr. 2023
PAU
Paulton Rovers
2 - 1
Bashley
BAS
21%
20%
60%
33 23 10 -1
18 Apr. 2023
BAS
Bashley
0 - 0
Westbury United
WUN
71%
16%
13%
33 25 8 0
15 Apr. 2023
BAS
Bashley
3 - 0
Cinderford Town
CIN
72%
16%
12%
33 22 11 0
13 Apr. 2023
SHO
Sholing
1 - 1
Bashley
BAS
46%
23%
31%
32 36 4 +1

Matches

Yate Town
Yate Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
YAT
Yate Town
0 - 2
Bath City
BAT
14%
21%
66%
28 47 19 0
10 Jul. 2023
YAT
Yate Town
0 - 1
Chippenham Town
CHI
14%
21%
66%
28 49 21 0
22 Apr. 2023
HAR
Harrow Borough
3 - 1
Yate Town
YAT
44%
23%
33%
30 27 3 -2
15 Apr. 2023
YAT
Yate Town
1 - 2
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
12%
19%
68%
30 47 17 0
10 Apr. 2023
MER
Merthyr Town
1 - 2
Yate Town
YAT
78%
14%
8%
29 42 13 +1