Bashley vs Winchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
82.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SWI
5 - 0
BAS
90%
8%
2%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
11 - 0
BAS
86%
11%
4%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
SLI
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DID
7 - 0
BAS
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
EVE
7 - 0
BAS
87%
10%
3%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 1
SLI
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
TIV
1 - 1
WIN
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 3
TAU
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WAN
0 - 3
WIN
6%
12%
82%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 1
SWI
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |