Bashley vs Weymouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 4
BAS
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
CIR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 1
BAS
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HAL
0 - 2
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAM
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Weymouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
WEY
0 - 4
WHI
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
WEY
2 - 0
EVE
58%
23%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
WEY
2 - 4
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
WEY
3 - 1
BED
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
DID
2 - 2
WEY
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |