Non League Div One Southern South Round 34

Bashley vs Westbury United analysis

Bashley Westbury United
33 ELO 25
-1.7% Tilt 9.2%
10830º General ELO ranking 40133º
439º Country ELO ranking 1203º
ELO win probability
70.7%
Bashley
16.1%
Draw
13.2%
Westbury United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
Bashley
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.2%
Win probability
Westbury United
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
-25%
+61%
Westbury United

Points and table prediction

Bashley
Their league position
Westbury United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
11º
50
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Totton
88
88
100%
Sholing
81
81
100%
Hamworthy United
74
74
100%
Evesham United
60
60
0%
Wimborne Town
60
60
0%
Tavistock
58
58
100%
Bashley
55
55
100%
Frome Town
54
54
100%
Bishop's Cleeve
52
52
100%
Westbury United
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Larkhall Athletic
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Melksham Town
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Paulton Rovers
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Exmouth Town
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Willand Rovers
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Lymington Town
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Bideford
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Bristol Manor Farm
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Cinderford Town
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Slimbridge
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bashley
Westbury United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bashley
Westbury United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
BAS
Bashley
3 - 0
Cinderford Town
CIN
72%
16%
12%
33 22 11 0
13 Apr. 2023
SHO
Sholing
1 - 1
Bashley
BAS
46%
23%
31%
32 36 4 +1
08 Apr. 2023
BAS
Bashley
1 - 1
Exmouth Town
EXM
74%
15%
11%
32 23 9 0
28 Mar. 2023
SLI
Slimbridge
1 - 1
Bashley
BAS
18%
19%
63%
33 21 12 -1
25 Mar. 2023
EVE
Evesham United
1 - 1
Bashley
BAS
24%
21%
55%
32 25 7 +1

Matches

Westbury United
Westbury United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
BIS
Bishop's Cleeve
2 - 1
Westbury United
WUN
51%
20%
29%
25 24 1 0
10 Apr. 2023
WUN
Westbury United
0 - 0
Larkhall Athletic
LAR
54%
22%
24%
25 24 1 0
08 Apr. 2023
BID
Bideford
3 - 4
Westbury United
WUN
45%
23%
32%
24 26 2 +1
04 Apr. 2023
PAU
Paulton Rovers
1 - 1
Westbury United
WUN
53%
20%
27%
24 25 1 0
24 Mar. 2023
WUN
Westbury United
1 - 0
Frome Town
FRO
27%
21%
52%
23 28 5 +1