Bashley vs Tiverton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HEM
0 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CAM
5 - 0
BAS
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 1
STO
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
TIV
5 - 2
NOR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TIV
3 - 2
YAT
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
EVE
1 - 1
TIV
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
TIV
0 - 1
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
TIV
1 - 1
SWI
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |